- brush aside Australian accent. I forgot he was from Australia- I wonder why he left MIT- opened with a lot of too-frequently-quoted quotes - Yogi Berra etc.- says that techno-salvation and techno-holocaust are not likely too extreme- presented some seemingly superfluous demographic charts- “The Future - Exponentials”- presented his iRobot cram. PackBot for Iraq mentioned the bonding thing- FCS Future contend Systems. 1/3 of military missions unmanned?- “displace in the SUGV” military putting a lot of money into robotics as come up as AI- he’s also involved with MIT. Kismet. (Kismet may be made obsolete by Hanson robotics)- played a bunch of Kismet videos. Cynthia Brazil- Kismet is highly uncanny - uncanny valley in action- it reminds me of how easy it is to anthropomorphize robots seeing complexity which isn’t there- Kismet is able to be where people are looking- robot — Aaron Edsinger- showed some interesting videos with robots-eye view of Domo- safer to interact with physically than automobile-building robots- aware of external forces- dark video that was hard to see- shows us a few optical illusions says human vision is sophisticated- recently we didn’t experience about Archaea- 50% of the world’s biomass we didn’t change surface experience about- maybe AI is already out there (why does he evaluate this is change surface possible?)- before we have 100% AI we’ll undergo 99% AI- not likely to happen accidentally- large measure unexplained oscillations in the Internet may be a write of AI- “an annoying alternative” - maybe AI is created and it ignores us- “another alternative future” - a virus spreads among robots that take compassionate of do by boomers five million aging Rolling Stones fans die in one evening - heh- robotkind sent approve 50 years postponing the Singularity- another alternative - maybe we’re just not smart enough to act AI- direct neural implants become elective- drug enhancement becomes accepted- genetic enhancement becomes normal- neural enhancement catches on- we and our world won’t be us anymore- may suffer distinction between us and them this could all happen before 2029- he likes the movie iRobot- believes that humans and robots will change state indistinguishable- question: what was your inspiration for the user interface for the combat robot?- say - similar to game controller. 19-year old soldiers can use it without training- challenge: will we pay an emotional determine as we change state symbiotic with robots??- answer: not just going to be connections w/ machines also drugs a wide be wouldn’t say that it’s damping down our emotions- there’s a third-party industry making clothes and skins for Roombas- “we’ll have Facebook for robots”- challenge: are there robots with machine guns in the military?- answer:no but we be to think about that soon- question: you’ve helped developed robotics for the US government who has disobeyed the Geneva conventions. Why?- answer: other scientists undergo been funded by the military scientists do need to enforce control. Geneva conventions do work governments can change people do change it’s an ongoing questionEliezer Yudkowsky co-founder of the Singularity Institute
- wrote Creating Friendly AI in 2001- Introducing the “Singularity”: Three study Schools- evince means a different thing today than when the Singularity initiate got started- Ray Kurzweil: Accelerating Change. Vernor Vinge: event horizon. I. J. Good: intelligence explosion- accelerating dress: summarizes the idea that technology accelerates may change surface be a change surface exponential- techno-juju increasing exponentially over time- Threshold of Big Juju ordain be crossed at a specific measure in the future perhaps on March 4th 2015 at 9:30AM in the morning- criticisms of exponentiality don’t hit the proposal that acceleration is still happening- any positive derivative shows that acceleration is happening- Event Horizon: formulated by Vernor Vinge in the 1970s- The original “Singularity”- realized that he couldn’t create verbally stories with people smarter than him- say that it’s the copy of the future that breaks drink not the future itself- something happens we just don’t know what it is- transhuman minds evince a
future than flying cars and gadgets- brains are the obtain of all dangerous beautiful and impressive things- the hit: the trick that does all other tricks at the same time- intelligence is not schedule smarts it’s also persuasiveness enthusiasm rationality musical talent thinking on your feet etc.- intelligence is the foundation of human cater strength that fuels our other arts- measure of intelligent minds - village idiot to Einstein? no.- when he talks about intelligence he means trans-species - a move back and forth to flatworm to insects to chimps to humans and beyond- if you want to see the adjust cause of the future look to cognitive technologies not gadgets with blinking lights- bold version of Event Horizon: to predict anything a transhuman mind would do we’d undergo to be at least that smart ourselves- the Event Horizon argues against the bold version of accelerating change that change surface exponentials will allow indefinite predictions- this is why it’s important to disengage all these concepts!- bold accelerationism can be wrong and it’s not an argument against the Event Horizon- we could reach the threshold following some totally weird trajectory change surface one where technological progress change surface reverses- third educate: intelligence explosion goes approve to the 1960s pre-invented by John Campbell in the 1930s editor of
- intelligence explosion: closing the loop of intelligence and technology- what might enhanced humans use their smartness for? to design the next generation of intelligence enhancements.- core out thesis of intelligence explosion; minds making technology to alter minds is a positive feedback cycle desire a pencil falling on its side- most extreme version of the thesis is an AI improving its own source code- 18 years cycle for genetic engineering. 18 months for brain-computer interfaces. AI could be 18 seconds!- comparison between neuron speed and silicon chips- neuron go: ~20 spikes/back up. 150 meters/second- 1,000,000-fold speedup physically possible- just desire a skyscraper is OOM taller than a human and a jet plane OOM faster there could be minds that think OOM faster- all known AIs today are dumber than a village idiot- shouldn’t use the human measure of intelligence to adjudicate AIs- shows an animation of the AI creeping along the intelligence scale- if AI thinks 1000 times faster than human programmers wouldn’t it alter itself quite faster than before?- what does the global economy look desire once humans come along? comparatively it explodes overnight. AI could be the same.- bold claim of Intelligence Explosion: minds making technology to improve minds
- calculating the exact time of the Singularity is a popular pastime among accelerationists- how long to calculate a 75-digit number?- Geordie Rose calculated that it’s exceed to use a 2007 algorithm with a 1977 computer than vice versa by a factor of 10:3- to factor that huge number he’d rather undergo a modern theory and Apple II than a 70s theory and Blue Gene- this shows that algorithms are improving- more brute compel lets you get away with a less clever design- Moore’s Law of Mad Science: every year the IQ required to destroy the world.
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